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Sunday, May 30, 2010

The Cassandra of Moscow

Friday, 28 May 2010

The Cassandra of Moscow

The Collapse of the United States is Just the Beginning

A new Orthodox-Catholic model of global development will replace the last 600 years of colonial liberalism -- in the long-term. In the short-term, the U.S. is still about to collapse. This is not another conspiracy theory from the blogging depths of the internet, but the newest interview with Igor Panarin in a recent issue of Economic Strategies (Ekonomicheskie Strategii 4 (2010)).

Igor Nikolaevich is a political scientist, an academician at the Russian Military Academy, and a professor at the Diplomatic Academy of Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He holds PhDs in psychology and political science. Panarin has made a career of long-term geopolitical commentary, much of which has been far less rosy than that by a standard talking head on a major news network. Last year Panarin shocked the North American press: one of his predictions regarding the imminent collapse of the U.S. was widely publicized. That forecast was actually ten years old, but it suddenly made waves in the context of the deepening global economic downturn, in general, and the American bailouts, in particular.

In the interview with Economic Strategies, Panarin suggests that what we are seeing today is the crash of a 600-year cycle of global development. This cycle is based on two major components -- the drug trade and the slave trade -- the foundation of all European colonial empires, especially the British Empire. However, the collapse of the Soviet Union marked the near-exhaustion of this particular geopolitical model.

Let me remind you that since 2006, the Fed has not been providing any information about the number of dollars it prints, even at the request of the Congress. Consequently, ideologically [Americans] are not able to create a new model. Colonial liberalism, which dominated the past 500-600 years, is at the end of its journey. Marxist socialism-colonialism was a part of this colonial liberalism, developed during the information war waged by the British Empire. Marxism, in fact, was an imported project, used to suppress Russia, Germany, and other alternative financial and economic systems. Protestants were the shock force in the construction of colonial liberalism. Whether they liked it or not, the spiritual and economic components were precisely Protestant-Lutheran.
As the U.S.-dollar model of liberal colonialism ceases to exist, Igor Nikolaevich projects that it will be replaced by three key currencies: the rouble, the Euro, and the Asian Monetary Unit (ACU) -- based on the Chinese yuan. When it comes to North America, in particular, the Canadian dollar may become the source of a new regional currency, because the U.S. dollar is likely to disappear as a result of the U.S. collapse. He reminds us that the Canadian dollar is supported by natural resources, and can, therefore, gain strength. However, if the U.S. smartens up and reinstitutes something like the silver dollar, then it might be possible to create a new regional currency on the Can-American basis. This currecy would allow for a relatively painless way out of the economic crisis, “Those people, who have been an influence on the geopolitical and economic situation, of course, do not want to lose power. They fear, say, physical elimination.”

Panarin believes that there is reason to forecast the collapse of the U.S. as early as July, which would be led by California. The collapse of California would trigger a default, which would have a fatal impact on the U.S. economy.
The U.S. has already taken two attempts to overcome the crisis. The first was an alliance with China, where 70% of its problems had to be moved to China. The second was a transition plan for the Amero, i.e. an attempt to redistribute the tension to Canada and Mexico. Nothing happened. Iran, all these Israeli Wars […] -- these are much less convenient options to solve the global crisis.
Currently, as the U.S. continues to struggle, it is also being pushed out of the new financial model. The plan to introduce a common North American currency on March 1, 2010 and save the sinking American financial system failed.

Two years ago, a conference was held with participation by countries in Latin America, North America and the Caribbean, [at which] Mexico proposed to exclude the U.S. from the Amero zone, but not Canada. Only the United States. However, this was a preliminary decision, which had no impact […] And suddenly, when the U.S.-China relations worsened, there was a summit in the Americas, were [they] decided upon the establishment of a new continental economic organization without the United States or Canada. And this occurs a week before the introduction of the Amero...There was an information leak on the subject on the internet, even the printed bills of the new currency.

He credits China with dealing a “knockout blow to the American globalists.” The Chinese apparently offered economic assistance to Mexico, and it suddenly argued against the Amero.
What concerns me is that a few days after this historic conference [about the Amero project], all of Latin America was struck by a series of earthquakes and tsunami. We have not witnessed such seismic activity in a long time in a region, where the [ACU] will be introduced. This makes one wonder…The causes of such natural disasters may have been manmade.
The reason China wields so much influence is the fact that it won an information war with the United States:
[Americans] have already, in effect, "given away" Taiwan; China has made a number of harsh statements; this [was] actually an ultimatum. Americans have asked to visit Beijing themselves, which [was] humiliating for them.
Therefore, an alliance between China, a “large factory”, France, representing Europe, and Russia, the center of Eurasia, may turn out to be quite fruitful. Igor Nikolaevich finds Medvedev’s choice to propose the new architecture of international financial relations in Paris, which was subsequently supported by Sarkozy, rather significant. “But France must be the same as under de Gaulle”, he adds. He was first to begin “the war with the Bretton Woods system, demanding to exchange Eurodollars for 2,000 tons of gold.” Essentially, Medvedev-Sarkozy cooperation is an attempt by the global elite to find a way out of the crisis through the rouble and the euro.
Now, at the bifurcation point, France is more important for [Russia] than Germany, which, in fact, is still occupied by the U.S. troops. What are 75 thousand U.S. soldiers doing in Germany, which no one threatens? Soviet tanks left East Germany, Poland, the Czech Republic, and other European countries 20 years ago, while the most powerful group from the United States is still on West German soil. In the 1940s, these two countries signed a secret agreement, which severely limited German national sovereignty -- this is what the former heads of the German secret service describe in their memoirs.
Finally, Panarin believes that Russia is capable of reestablishing those positions that it held prior to the Bolshevik takeover. Stalin’s restoration of the territorial integrity of the Russian empire serves as historic precedent. However, Igor Nikolaevich suggests a fundamentally new model. Currently, there exists the potential of increasing Russia’s influence in Turkey, Mongolia, and Iran. Turkey, for instance, already uses roubles. This influence should be combined with the possibility of pushing the rouble into other areas, such as India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, in addition to the former USSR and Eastern Europe. As a result, Russia would become the true center of Eurasia.

Thus, the ACU-rouble-Euro model makes financial and geopolitical sense as the replacement of the U.S. dollar, according to Panarin. In fact, he proposed a global currency, ACURE, in March of 2009. Igor Nikolaevich also hopes to see the healing of a thousand-year old schism as the cultural replacement of colonial liberalism, “Today, Orthodoxy and Catholicism must interact in the process of building a new model -- a model that is more just, spiritually moral, thereby creating a kind of an ideological structure, a [certain] solidarity.”

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